FIELD: medicine. SUBSTANCE: method involves applying microbiology methods for analyzing bronchial sectret and/or sputum. Conditionally pathogenic bacteria, pathogenic bacteria and Candida fungi quantity is determined and evaluated as score values. The score sum being equal to 0-2, nonspecific pulmonary disease remittance period is forecasted. The value being equal to 3-5, favorable development course of acute condition pneumonia is forecasted. The value being equal to 6-8, chronic pneumonia with bronchiectatic and abscesses or chronic pneumonia with unfavorable development course is forecasted. The value being equal to 9-12, expressed immunity deficiency and malignant neoplasm formations in lungs are forecasted. EFFECT: enhanced accuracy of prognosis. 1 tbl
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