FIELD: medicine. SUBSTANCE: method involves determining microelements spectrum specific for particular region in patient blood. Reduction in essential microelements contents and increased maximum permissible concentration of conditionally essential and toxic microelements when compared to some reference values is considered to be the basis for making conclusions concerning goiter development risk. EFFECT: high accuracy of prognosis; detected blood serum microelement composition disorders at prenosological level. 1 tbl
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