PROGNOSTIC METHOD FOR COMPLICATED PHLEGMON CLINICAL COURSE Russian patent published in 2008 - IPC G01N33/48 C12N1/02 

FIELD: medicine.

SUBSTANCE: invention relates to the field of medicine. Prognostic method is based, on one hand, on integral indices of macroorganism condition, and on other hand, on microorganism pathogenicity factors. In soft tissue phlegmonic patients, presence and intensity of system inflammatory response syndrome is evaluated. From biomaterial in the nidus of surgical infection, the pure pathogen culture is isolated, its species is identified, its virulent and persistent characteristics are determined, and risk of local purulent complication development is calculated by formula R=-5.699x₁-3.828x₂-6.210x₃-2.525x₄-5.699x₅-2.495x₆-3.066x₇-3.703x₈; if R≥0, the prognosis is favourable, if R<0, local purulent complication development is prognosticated. In case of unfavourable prognosis, pathogen elimination period is determined by formula y=0.638x+1.06, where y is pathogen elimination period, x is pathogen anticomplementary activity level.

EFFECT: providing objectivity and reproducibility; allowing timely risk evaluation of local purulent complication development.

1 dwg, 2 ex