METHOD FOR ANALYSING AND PREDICTING DEVELOPMENT OF EPIDEMICAL SITUATION CAUSED BY SOCIALLY MINDED AIRBORNE INFECTIONS Russian patent published in 2015 - IPC G01N33/50 

FIELD: medicine.

SUBSTANCE: samples are taken weekly within a territory of interest; the number of patients (N) is determined; the samples are analysed to determine the concentration of viral antigen RNA (Csample) and an infectious titre (ITsample) of the viral material, and an average rate $${\overline{v}}_t$$ of the epidemical situation development is calculated by formulas. If meeting the requirements: Csample exceeds a lower threshold, whereas ITsample exceeds a background, the samples are taken daily; if the absolute values N, Csample and ITsample tend to increase simultaneously, the risk of the epidemic situation is considered to be high.

EFFECT: higher reliability of assessing the epidemic situation caused by viral infections.

8 cl, 11 dwg, 4 tbl, 2 ex