FIELD: medicine, cardiology.
SUBSTANCE: in men one should detect the following parameters: age (x1), the presence of constant lover (x2), the category of smoking intensity (x3, x4, x5), the value of systolic arterial pressure (x6), the presence of the diagnosis of ischemic cardiac disease by epidemiological criteria (x7). One should determine the value of cumulative risk of lethality as a result of cardio-vascular diseases (CVD) by the following formula: ∑x7β7=x1β1+x2β2+x3β3+x4β4+x5β5+x6β6+x7β7, where ∑x7β7 - the value of cumulative risk of lethality as a result of CVD, x1 - age (the quantity of yr on the moment of inspection); x2 - the presence of constant lover: wife, concubine, etc. (0 - yes; 1 - no); x3 - smoking at intensity of about 1-9 cigarettes/Russian cigarettes daily (0 - no, 1 - yes), x4 - smoking at intensity of about 10-19 cigarettes/Russian cigarettes daily (0 - no, 1 - yes), x5 - smoking at intensity being 20 and more cigarettes/Russian cigarettes daily (0 -no, 1 -yes), x6 - the value of systolic arterial pressure (mm mercury column), x7 - the presence of the diagnosis of ischemic cardiac disease according to epidemiological criteria (0 - no, 1 - yes), β1, β2, β3, β4, β5, β6, β7 - regression coefficients of the following variables x1, x2, x3, x4, x5, x6 and x7 that have got the following values: β1=0.113; β2=0.532; β3=0.612; β4=1.174; β5=0.880; β6=0.016; β7=0.812. At value of cumulative risk of lethality as a result of CVD being below 7.59 men should be classified into the category low risk, at the values of cumulative risk of lethality ranged 7.59-8.56 such men should be referred to the category of average risk, and at its value being higher or equal 8.57 these men should be referred to the category of high risk of lethality as a result of cardio-vascular diseases in wide age range (men aged 25-64) for prolonged period (16.9 yr). The method is simple in practical application.
EFFECT: higher accuracy of prediction.
4 ex, 3 tbl
| Title | Year | Author | Number |
|---|---|---|---|
| METHOD OF DETERMINING TOTAL CARDIOVASCULAR RISK OF DEATH IN MEN | 2012 |
|
RU2492804C1 |
| METHOD FOR DETERMINATION OF RISK OF DEATH CAUSED BY ALL REASONS IN MEN WHO RESIDE IN CONDITIONS OF MEDIUM-URBANISED CITY IN WESTERN SIBERIA | 2007 |
|
RU2347522C1 |
| METHOD FOR DETERMINING A 10-YEAR ABSOLUTE TOTAL RISK OF DEATH FROM CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES IN MEN OF WORKING AGE | 2017 |
|
RU2649829C1 |
| METHOD FOR EVALUATING ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE DEATH IN MEN BEING RESIDENTS OF MODERATELY URBANISED CITY OF WESTERN SIBERIA | 2007 |
|
RU2348361C1 |
| METHOD FOR DETERMINING INDIVIDUAL PROFILE OF TOTAL CARDIOVASCULAR RISK FACTORS IN PATIENT OF WORKING AGE | 2021 |
|
RU2757752C1 |
| METHOD OF ESTIMATION OF TOTAL RISK OF DEVELOPMENT OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES, SPECIFIC FOR RUSSIAN POPULATION | 2007 |
|
RU2352258C2 |
| METHOD FOR PREDICTION OF LETHAL OUTCOME IN PATIENTS OF ACTIVE WORKING AGE, SUFFERED ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION | 2014 |
|
RU2573103C1 |
| METHOD FOR ASSESSING 5-YEAR CARDIOVASCULAR RISK USING THE ARTERIAL STIFFNESS INDEX "CARDIO-ANKLE VASCULAR INDEX-CAVI" | 2021 |
|
RU2768448C1 |
| METHOD OF PREDICTING THE RISK OF DEVELOPING CORONARY HEART DISEASE IN MEN AGED 25-64 YEARS IN THE PRESENCE OF SYSTOLIC ARTERIAL HYPERTENSION AND DEPRESSION | 2022 |
|
RU2798065C1 |
| METHOD FOR PREDICTION OF FATAL OUTCOME FIVE YEARS AFTER SUFFERING MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION | 2015 |
|
RU2590869C1 |
